Mississippi vs Alabama 10/16/2010

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 90% of simulations over Mississippi. Greg McElroy is averaging 217 passing yards and 1.7 TDs per simulation and Mark Ingram is projected for 148 rushing yards and a 85% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10% of simulations where Mississippi wins, Jeremiah Masoli averages 1.18 TD passes vs 0.86 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.6 TDs to 1.25 interceptions. Brandon Bolden averages 70 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Mississippi wins and 62 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 94% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -20

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